Subtropical Storm Nicole formed northeast of the Bahamas early Monday morning. Coast.Watch Video: 2022 Atlantic hurricane names: See list, including supplemental names By Thu, fresh winds will increase in coverage N of 29N as a frontal boundary lingers near the southeast U.S. Winds will pulse to strong north of Hispaniola Mon and Tue afternoon and evenings. Active weather affecting portions of the western Atlantic, including the Bahamas, is expected to drift NW tonight and diminish significantly by Mon night. East Coast, S to SW moderate to locally fresh winds will develop Mon night through Thu across the waters N of 27N. Light to gentle variable winds and 3 to 6 ft seas are elsewhere.įor the forecast west of 55W, the current ridging pattern will maintain gentle to moderate winds across the western Atlantic through Mon. Moderate to fresh E winds are S of 22N between Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico and extending as far as 46W. Gentle to moderate S to SE winds are N of 22N and W of 68W. A middle to upper level trough just E of Florida is supporting scattered showers and tstms between 64W and 79W. A cold front weakens this ridge from 31N54W to 30N62W where it transitions to a stationary front that continues to 31N72W. In addition, a 1021 mb high pressure is centered across the central Atlantic near 25N52W. The Bermuda and Azores Highs extend a ridge across the entire subtropical Atlantic waters. Atlantic Oceanįor information about the tropical Atlantic, see the Tropical Waves section above. Winds will pulse to strong in the Gulf of Honduras during the afternoon and evening hours Mon through Wed. This will result in trade winds increasing fresh to strong while significantly expanding in areal coverage across the central Caribbean tonight throughout the upcoming week. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds are over the NW Caribbean, with seas 3-5 ft.įor the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure over the central Atlantic and the Colombia low will tighten this week. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a tropical wave moving across Colombia this evening is supporting fresh trade winds across the E and central Caribbean, except for fresh to strong winds in the Gulf of Venezuela and in the NW Colombia offshore waters where seas are in the 7-8 ft range. In the SW Caribbean, the east Pacific monsoon trough is inducing scattered moderate convection along the Nicaragua offshore waters. Caribbean SeaĪ broad Atlantic surface ridge extends SW from a 1021 mb high pressure centered near 25N52W to the Bahamas and the NE Caribbean. Smoke from agricultural fires in Mexico will produce hazy skies across the SW Gulf tonight. Meanwhile, winds will become moderate to locally fresh in the eastern Gulf by Tue night into Wed. Over the SW Gulf and western Bay of Campeche, smoke due to agricultural fires is likely currently reducing visibility to 2 to 4 nm in some areas, based on recent coastal surface observations from Mexico and satellite imagery.įor the forecast, as a frontal boundary sinks farther south over Texas by midweek, winds will gradually increase to fresh and expand to the central Gulf Tue through early Thu. Seas basin-wide are between the 2 to 3 ft. Moderate to fresh E to NE winds are also off the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Gulf Of MexicoĪ broad and weak high pressure ridge extending from the Atlantic westward into the Gulf is combining with low pressure over Texas and supporting light to gentle variable winds across the basin, except for moderate to locally fresh southerly winds along the coastal waters from Veracruz, Mexico all the way to the Florida Big Bend. Numerous moderate to strong convection is noted offshore the coast from Guinea to Sierra Leone, and from 02N to 10N between 16W and 24W. The ITCZ extends from 08N27W to 06N33W, then continues from 06N36W to 07N53W. The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the Senegal coast near 14N17W to 08N27W. There is no convection associated with this wave over the basin. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 12N between 48W and 60W.Ī tropical wave is in the south-central Caribbean with axis near 73W, south of 14N into Colombia, moving west around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 03N to 08N between 32W and 42W.Ī tropical wave axis is SE of the Windward Islands with axis near 54W from 02N to 12N, moving west at 15 kt. A tropical wave is analyzed in the central Atlantic with axis near 34W from 02N to 11N, moving west at 15-20 kt.
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